Juniper Seminar Series - An imperfect tool: why is contact tracing so hard to get right?
Duration: 48 mins 8 secs
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About this item
| Description: |
Emma Davis University of Oxford
12 July 2021 – 12:00 to 13:00 |
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| Created: | 2021-07-12 16:10 |
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| Collection: | JUNIPER Research Meeting |
| Publisher: | Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences |
| Copyright: | Davis, E |
| Language: | eng (English) |
| Abstract: | Emerging evidence suggests that contact tracing has had limited success in the UK in reducing the R number across the COVID-19 pandemic. We investigate potential pitfalls and areas for improvement by extending an existing branching process contact tracing model, adding diagnostic testing and refining parameter estimates to demonstrate that reporting and adherence are the most important predictors of programme impact. We conclude that well-implemented contact tracing could bring small but potentially important benefits to controlling and preventing outbreaks, providing up to a 15% reduction in R, and reaffirm that contact tracing is not currently appropriate as the sole control measure.
Please click here to register for this seminar. |
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